{"id":1960,"date":"2026-06-24T12:38:22","date_gmt":"2026-06-24T12:38:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/?p=1960"},"modified":"2026-06-24T14:24:16","modified_gmt":"2026-06-24T14:24:16","slug":"daleki-bliski-istokbrosjetljiva-zona-svijeta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/mne\/daleki-bliski-istokbrosjetljiva-zona-svijeta\/","title":{"rendered":"Daleki Bliski istok, osjetljiva zona svijeta"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"1960\" class=\"elementor elementor-1960\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-232a874 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"232a874\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_has_onepagescroll_dot&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-49d7868 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"49d7868\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_we_effect_on&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Daleki Bliski istok, <br>osjetljiva zona svijeta <\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-aebf36d e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"aebf36d\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_has_onepagescroll_dot&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b9b5dfa elementor-widget__width-inherit elementor-widget-mobile__width-initial elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"b9b5dfa\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_we_effect_on&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h6 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Svetlana Popovi\u0107 Vujoti\u0107<\/h6>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-518899b1 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"518899b1\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_has_onepagescroll_dot&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-230fa63 elementor-widget-mobile__width-initial elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"230fa63\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_we_effect_on&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"640\" height=\"569\" src=\"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/WhatsApp-Image-2026-06-24-at-10.52.40-768x683.jpeg\" class=\"attachment-medium_large size-medium_large wp-image-1962\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/WhatsApp-Image-2026-06-24-at-10.52.40-768x683.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/WhatsApp-Image-2026-06-24-at-10.52.40-300x267.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/WhatsApp-Image-2026-06-24-at-10.52.40-1024x910.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/WhatsApp-Image-2026-06-24-at-10.52.40-14x12.jpeg 14w, https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/WhatsApp-Image-2026-06-24-at-10.52.40.jpeg 1080w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7b01f04 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"7b01f04\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_has_onepagescroll_dot&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-562e7ec e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"562e7ec\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_has_onepagescroll_dot&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-cc16c69 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"cc16c69\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_we_effect_on&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">\u017divot<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2d6b9e0 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"2d6b9e0\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_has_onepagescroll_dot&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-79cd6c2 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"79cd6c2\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_we_effect_on&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"640\" height=\"415\" src=\"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Bliski-Istok-Argument-novo-768x498.png\" class=\"attachment-medium_large size-medium_large wp-image-1994\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Bliski-Istok-Argument-novo-768x498.png 768w, https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Bliski-Istok-Argument-novo-300x194.png 300w, https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Bliski-Istok-Argument-novo-1024x664.png 1024w, https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Bliski-Istok-Argument-novo-18x12.png 18w, https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Bliski-Istok-Argument-novo.png 1080w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d9bd88f e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"d9bd88f\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_has_onepagescroll_dot&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-30bcacb elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"30bcacb\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_we_effect_on&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7d9f31d elementor-widget elementor-widget-html\" data-id=\"7d9f31d\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_we_effect_on&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"html.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"meta-row\">\r\n  <span class=\"meta-item\">\ud83d\udcc5 24.06.2026<\/strong><\/span>\r\n  <span class=\"meta-item\">\ud83d\udd52 08:00 <\/strong><\/span>\r\n  <span class=\"meta-item\">\ud83d\udc41 <strong><div class=\"post-views content-post post-1960 entry-meta load-static\">\r\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"post-views-count\">153<\/span>\r\n\t\t\t<\/div><\/strong><\/span>\r\n<\/div>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2925ad6 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"2925ad6\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_has_onepagescroll_dot&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5eb31f1 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"5eb31f1\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_we_effect_on&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-907c322 elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"907c322\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_we_effect_on&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-51b03a8 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"51b03a8\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_we_effect_on&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Svijet je mali bez obzira koliko takav stav istorijski, geografski, demografski ili kulturolo\u0161ki djelovao utopijski. Mali je jer nam je sve veliko \u0161to se dogodi negdje daleko, zapravo veoma blisko, naj\u010de\u0161\u0107e po posljedicama koje osje\u0107amo.\u00a0<\/p><p>Kriza i sukobi na Bliskom istoku su to ponovo potvrdili, \u0161okiraju\u0107i svijet ozbiljnim poreme\u0107ajem tr\u017ei\u0161ta nafte od koje zavisi globalna ekonomija. Me\u0111unarodna zajednica s velikom pa\u017enjom prati diplomatske napore usmjerene na smanjenje tenzija izme\u0111u SAD-a i Irana, kao i proces stabilizacije pomorskog saobra\u0107aja kroz Hormu\u0161ki moreuz nakon nedavnih sigurnosnih izazova. Posebna o\u010dekivanja usmjerena su prema ishodu pregovora u \u0160vajcarskoj, o\u010duvanju trajnog mira i dugoro\u010dne stabilnosti na \u0161irem Bliskom istoku. Istovremeno, budu\u0107nost primirja izme\u0111u Izraela i Hezbolaha ostaje neizvjesna, optere\u0107ena me\u0111usobnim optu\u017ebama za kr\u0161enje dogovora i povremenim incidentima, \u0161to dodatno potvr\u0111uje krhkost regionalne sigurnosne arhitekture i potrebu za nastavkom intenzivnih diplomatskih napora.\u00a0<\/p><p>Neki evropski lideri (Emmanuel Macron), kako su prenijeli svjetski mediji, izrazili su sumnju u dugoro\u010dnu stabilnost sporazuma i okon\u010danje rata na Bliskom istoku \u2026<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a733332 elementor-widget__width-initial elementor-widget-mobile__width-initial elementor-widget elementor-widget-video\" data-id=\"a733332\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;video_type&quot;:&quot;hosted&quot;,&quot;autoplay&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;mute&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;loop&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;ekit_we_effect_on&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"video.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-hosted-video elementor-wrapper elementor-open-inline\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<video class=\"elementor-video\" src=\"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/WhatsApp-Video-2026-06-24-at-11.15.06.mp4\" autoplay=\"\" loop=\"\" muted=\"muted\" controlsList=\"nodownload\"><\/video>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-fe68932 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"fe68932\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_we_effect_on&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div style=\"width: 100%;\"><div style=\"font-size: 16px; font-weight: 800; text-align: center;\">Dubai, UAE<\/div><\/div>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-0c2dfcc elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"0c2dfcc\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_we_effect_on&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Za \u201cArgument\u201d je o izazovima kriznog podru\u010dja govorio prof. dr. Zijad Be\u0107irovi\u0107, direktor Me\u0111unarodnog instituta za bliskoisto\u010dne i balkanske studije (IFIMES) iz Ljubljane.\u00a0<\/p><p>IFIMES od 2018. godine ima specijalni konsultativni status pri Ekonomsko-socijalnom vije\u0107u (ECOSOC) Ujedinjenih nacija u New Yorku, a ujedno je i izdava\u010d me\u0111unarodnog nau\u010dnog \u010dasopisa za evropske integracije \u201cEuropean Perspectives\u201d. Nau\u010dno-istra\u017eiva\u010dki rad prof. dr Zijada Be\u0107irovi\u0107a usmjeren je na podru\u010dja me\u0111unarodnih odnosa, interkulturalnog menad\u017ementa i interkulturne komunikacije, savremenih odnosa izme\u0111u Zapada i islamskog svijeta, Bliskog istoka i Balkana, kao i na pitanja islama i judaizma. Posebnu pa\u017enju posve\u0107uje prou\u010davanju dru\u0161tvenih, politi\u010dkih i sigurnosnih procesa na Bliskom istoku i Balkanu, analizi me\u0111unarodnih odnosa te izazovima savremenog upravljanja u multikulturalnom okru\u017eenju.\u00a0<\/p><p>Tokom akademske i profesionalne karijere objavio je brojne nau\u010dne i stru\u010dne radove, stekao niz uglednih doma\u0107ih i me\u0111unarodnih priznanja: Zlatna medalja Crans Montana Foruma u \u017denevi (2012), priznanje za najboljeg menad\u017eera i najbolji institut u jugoisto\u010dnoj i srednjoj Evropi (2016), nagrada Mostar Peace Connection (2018), Nagrada za posebna dostignu\u0107a Life Learning Academia (2018).\u00a0<\/p><p>Prof. dr. Be\u0107irovi\u0107 aktivno je anga\u017eovan u me\u0111unarodnim akademskim i poslovnim mre\u017eama. Ambasador je Commonwealth Entrepreneurs Cluba u Londonu i ambasador znanja, \u010dlan Akademskog odbora Futurale Collegea u Montrealu (Kanada), \u010dlan Savjetodavnog odbora \u010dasopisa Anatolian Journal of Politics and Economics te predsjednik Stru\u010dnog \u017eirija za izbor najmenad\u017eera i najli\u010dnosti jugoisto\u010dne i centralne Evrope.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f48f172 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"f48f172\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_we_effect_on&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"640\" height=\"427\" src=\"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/WhatsApp-Image-2026-06-24-at-10.51.21-768x512.jpeg\" class=\"attachment-medium_large size-medium_large wp-image-1965\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/WhatsApp-Image-2026-06-24-at-10.51.21-768x512.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/WhatsApp-Image-2026-06-24-at-10.51.21-300x200.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/WhatsApp-Image-2026-06-24-at-10.51.21-1024x682.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/WhatsApp-Image-2026-06-24-at-10.51.21-1536x1023.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/WhatsApp-Image-2026-06-24-at-10.51.21-18x12.jpeg 18w, https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/WhatsApp-Image-2026-06-24-at-10.51.21.jpeg 1600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-40902c1 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"40902c1\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_we_effect_on&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div style=\"width: 100%;\">\n<div style=\"font-size: 8px; font-weight: 400; text-align: left;\">Izvor: Privatna arhiva<\/div>\n<div style=\"font-size: 16px; font-weight: 800; text-align: center;\">Prof. dr Zijad Be\u0107irovi\u0107<\/div>\n<\/div>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-e2bfb7b elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"e2bfb7b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_we_effect_on&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong>Argument:<\/strong> U kom opsegu se mogu kretati posljedice krize na Bliskom Istoku, prvenstveno za susjedne zemlje i one koje gravitiraju zoni rizika?<\/p><p><strong>Prof.dr Zijad Be\u0107irovi\u0107:<\/strong> Posljedice krize na Bliskom istoku imaju vi\u0161eslojan karakter i obuhvataju sigurnosne, politi\u010dke, ekonomske i humanitarne aspekte. Susjedne zemlje, poput UAE, Katara, Turske, ali i Egipta, suo\u010davaju se s rastu\u0107im sigurnosnim izazovima, uklju\u010duju\u0107i rizike od \u0161irenja regionalne nestabilnosti, naru\u0161avanja unutra\u0161nje sigurnosti, ja\u010danja radikalnih aktera i pove\u0107anih migracionih pritisaka. Na ekonomskom planu, ove dr\u017eave su pogo\u0111ene poreme\u0107ajima u trgovinskim tokovima, investicionim kretanjima i lancima energetskog snabdijevanja. Istovremeno, pojedine zemlje, posebno veliki izvoznici energenata, mogu kratkoro\u010dno ostvariti odre\u0111ene koristi uslijed rasta cijena nafte i plina.\u00a0<\/p><p>Me\u0111utim, dugoro\u010dno nestabilnost nikome ne odgovara, svaka ve\u0107a eskalacija krize neizbje\u017eno naru\u0161ava regionalnu stabilnost, smanjuje investicionu atraktivnost i pove\u0107ava percepciju rizika kod me\u0111unarodnih investitora, osiguravaju\u0107ih ku\u0107a i ekonomskih aktera. Zbog toga posljedice krize nadilaze neposredno pogo\u0111ene zemlje i mogu imati \u0161ire implikacije na globalnu sigurnost, energetsku stabilnost i me\u0111unarodne odnose.<\/p><p><strong>Argument:<\/strong> Zemlje Evrope i ostatak svijeta strahuju od posljedica energetske krize i ekonomskih turbulencija, da li u slu\u010daju pogor\u0161anja situacije na Bliskom istoku imaju jednako sna\u017ene odgovore na te izazove?<\/p><p><strong>Zijad Be\u0107irovi\u0107:<\/strong> Evropa danas raspola\u017ee razvijenijim mehanizmima odgovora nego u prethodnim kriznim periodima, prije svega zahvaljuju\u0107i diversifikaciji energetskih izvora, ve\u0107em oslanjanju na uvoz ukapljenog prirodnog plina (LNG), razvoju obnovljivih izvora energije i ja\u010danju strate\u0161kih rezervi. Ipak, ti kapaciteti ostaju ograni\u010deni u slu\u010daju dugotrajnije destabilizacije Bliskog istoka, imaju\u0107i u vidu da globalno energetsko tr\u017ei\u0161te i dalje ostaje izrazito osjetljivo na poreme\u0107aje u klju\u010dnim transportnim pravcima. Istovremeno, otpornost evropskih dr\u017eava nije jednaka. Dok razvijene ekonomije posjeduju sna\u017enije finansijske, energetske i institucionalne mehanizme za ubla\u017eavanje posljedica kriza, manje i energetski zavisnije zemlje ostaju znatno izlo\u017eenije vanjskim \u0161okovima. U slu\u010daju ozbiljnije eskalacije te\u0161ko je o\u010dekivati jedinstven i podjednako sna\u017ean evropski odgovor; realnije je pretpostaviti razli\u010dite, \u010desto parcijalne i nedovoljno uskla\u0111ene reakcije, koje \u0107e odra\u017eavati razli\u010dite nivoe otpornosti, nacionalne interese i strate\u0161ke prioritete pojedinih dr\u017eava.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-11fbcc7 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"11fbcc7\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_we_effect_on&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"640\" height=\"480\" src=\"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/WhatsApp-Image-2026-06-24-at-11.33.20-768x576.jpeg\" class=\"attachment-medium_large size-medium_large wp-image-1966\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/WhatsApp-Image-2026-06-24-at-11.33.20-768x576.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/WhatsApp-Image-2026-06-24-at-11.33.20-300x225.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/WhatsApp-Image-2026-06-24-at-11.33.20-1024x768.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/WhatsApp-Image-2026-06-24-at-11.33.20-1536x1152.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/WhatsApp-Image-2026-06-24-at-11.33.20-16x12.jpeg 16w, https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/WhatsApp-Image-2026-06-24-at-11.33.20.jpeg 1600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-aaf522a elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"aaf522a\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_we_effect_on&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div style=\"width: 100%;\">\n<div style=\"font-size: 8px; font-weight: 400; text-align: left;\">Izvor: Pixabay<\/div>\n<div style=\"font-size: 16px; font-weight: 800; text-align: center;\">Tanker sa naftom<\/div>\n<\/div>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2a3e892 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"2a3e892\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_we_effect_on&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong>Argument:<\/strong> Da li Va\u0161 Institut ima konkretne podatke o koli\u010dini nafte koja se do sada distribuirala preko moreuza, kao uskog grla ovog sukoba, i koliki je to manjak na dnevnom nivou?<\/p><p><strong>Zijad Be\u0107irovi\u0107:<\/strong> Prema dostupnim analizama i relevantnim me\u0111unarodnim energetskim izvorima koje IFIMES kontinuirano prati, kroz klju\u010dne pomorske prolaze na Bliskom istoku dnevno se transportuje izme\u0111u 17 i 20 miliona barela nafte i naftnih derivata. Ovi podaci ne uklju\u010duju transport ukapljenog prirodnog plina (LNG), \u010diji zna\u010daj u globalnom energetskom sistemu dodatno pove\u0107ava strate\u0161ku va\u017enost ovih pravaca. Takvi tokovi predstavljaju pribli\u017eno petinu ukupne svjetske potro\u0161nje nafte, zbog \u010dega bi svako ozbiljnije naru\u0161avanje sigurnosti ovih strate\u0161kih koridora moglo izazvati trenutne poreme\u0107aje na globalnom energetskom tr\u017ei\u0161tu i dovesti do rasta cijena energenata. U finansijskom smislu, takvi poreme\u0107aji proizvode gubitke koji se mjere milijardama dolara dnevno u okviru me\u0111unarodne trgovine energentima.\u00a0<\/p><p>Iako globalno tr\u017ei\u0161te posjeduje odre\u0111ene mehanizme prilago\u0111avanja, uklju\u010duju\u0107i diversifikaciju transportnih ruta, pove\u0107anje strate\u0161kih rezervi i dodatnu proizvodnju u drugim regijama, kapaciteti za kompenzaciju ostaju ograni\u010deni. Zbog toga bi dugotrajniji poreme\u0107aji u ovim klju\u010dnim energetskim pravcima mogli imati \u0161iroke posljedice po inflaciju, ekonomsku stabilnost i me\u0111unarodne odnose.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b9b33ff elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"b9b33ff\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_we_effect_on&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"194\" src=\"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Bliski-Istok-Argument-3-novo-300x194.png\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium wp-image-2002\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Bliski-Istok-Argument-3-novo-300x194.png 300w, https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Bliski-Istok-Argument-3-novo-1024x664.png 1024w, https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Bliski-Istok-Argument-3-novo-768x498.png 768w, https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Bliski-Istok-Argument-3-novo-18x12.png 18w, https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Bliski-Istok-Argument-3-novo.png 1080w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c4316cd elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"c4316cd\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;ekit_we_effect_on&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong>Argument:<\/strong> Kakve spoljnopoliti\u010dke posljedice \u0107e imati ovaj sukob?<\/p><p><strong>Zijad Be\u0107irovi\u0107:<\/strong> Bliski istok vi\u0161e nije apsolutni epicentar globalnih zbivanja, ali ostaje jedna od najosjetljivijih i najrizi\u010dnijih ta\u010daka me\u0111unarodnog sistema. Aktuelne krize i sukobi dodatno produbljuju postoje\u0107e geopoliti\u010dke podjele i ubrzavaju proces formiranja suprotstavljenih blokova u savremenim me\u0111unarodnim odnosima. Velike sile svoje interese sve \u010de\u0161\u0107e nastoje ostvarivati kroz indirektne oblike djelovanja, \u010dime se pove\u0107ava rizik od \u0161irenja i intenziviranja tzv. proxy konflikata. Istovremeno, ja\u010da uloga regionalnih aktera koji kroz postoje\u0107e krize poku\u0161avaju redefinisati vlastite strate\u0161ke pozicije, pove\u0107ati uticaj i oblikovati novu regionalnu ravnote\u017eu.\u00a0<\/p><p>Multilateralne institucije suo\u010davaju se s dodatnim pritiscima, pri \u010demu njihove ograni\u010dene sposobnosti u prevenciji i upravljanju krizama ovakvih razmjera postaju sve vidljivije. Dugoro\u010dno posmatrano, ovakvi sukobi ne uti\u010du samo na regionalnu stabilnost, ve\u0107 predstavljaju ozbiljan izazov za me\u0111unarodni poredak. Produ\u017eavanje konflikata doprinosi eroziji principa me\u0111unarodnog prava i stvara opasnu percepciju da upotreba sile mo\u017ee postati prihvatljiv instrument za ostvarivanje politi\u010dkih ciljeva.<\/p><p><strong>Argument:<\/strong> Analiziraju\u0107i mentalitet protivnika i motiv sukoba, ali i neutralnost ostatka svijeta, kako vidite budu\u0107i razvoj situacije na Bliskom Istoku?<\/p><p><strong>Zijad Be\u0107irovi\u0107:<\/strong> Trenutna dinamika sukoba ukazuje na nastojanja da se njegova eskalacija ograni\u010di unutar odre\u0111enog geografskog i politi\u010dkog okvira, s ciljem spre\u010davanja \u0161ire regionalne destabilizacije. Ipak, historijsko iskustvo pokazuje da ovakvi konflikti \u010desto poprimaju nepredvidive tokove, posebno kada su isprepleteni dubokim ideolo\u0161kim, religijskim i geopoliti\u010dkim interesima. Neutralna pozicija dijela me\u0111unarodne zajednice u zna\u010dajnoj mjeri proizlazi iz pragmati\u010dnih strate\u0161kih interesa, a manje iz stvarne distance ili potpuno objektivnog posredovanja. U narednom periodu mogu\u0107e su faze privremenog smirivanja, ali i nove eskalacije, uz stalni rizik od pojedina\u010dnog incidenta koji bi mogao promijeniti dinamiku sukoba i izazvati \u0161ire regionalne posljedice.<\/p><p><strong>Argument:<\/strong> Mir nema alternativu, koliko je u ovom trenutku taj uzvi\u0161eni cilj blizu ili daleko, i od \u010dega zavisi?<\/p><p><strong>Zijad Be\u0107irovi\u0107:<\/strong> Mir zaista nema alternativu, ali u savremenim me\u0111unarodnim odnosima \u010desto nije neposredni cilj, ve\u0107 rezultat slo\u017eenog procesa uskla\u0111ivanja i balansiranja razli\u010ditih politi\u010dkih, sigurnosnih i strate\u0161kih interesa. U aktuelnom geopoliti\u010dkom kontekstu mir se \u010dini relativno udaljenim, jer su klju\u010dni akteri prvenstveno usmjereni na ostvarivanje kratkoro\u010dnih ciljeva i o\u010duvanje vlastitih pozicija.\u00a0<\/p><p>Odr\u017eivi mir mo\u017ee biti zasnovan jedino na stvarnoj politi\u010dkoj volji velikih sila, spremnosti svih relevantnih aktera na kompromis i ja\u010danju me\u0111unarodnih mehanizama za prevenciju i rje\u0161avanje konflikata. Bez tih pretpostavki, me\u0111unarodni sistem odnosno poredak ostaje zarobljen u stanju produ\u017eene nestabilnosti, u kojem krize sve vi\u0161e postaju obrazac djelovanja, a ne izuzetak.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Daleki Bliski istok, osjetljiva zona svijeta Svetlana Popovi\u0107 Vujoti\u0107 \u017divot \ud83d\udcc5 24.06.2026 \ud83d\udd52 08:00 \ud83d\udc41 Svijet je mali bez obzira koliko takav stav istorijski, geografski, demografski ili kulturolo\u0161ki djelovao utopijski. Mali je jer nam je sve veliko \u0161to se dogodi negdje daleko, zapravo veoma blisko, naj\u010de\u0161\u0107e po posljedicama koje osje\u0107amo.\u00a0 Kriza i sukobi na Bliskom [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":1962,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"elementor_header_footer","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"pagelayer_contact_templates":[],"_pagelayer_content":"","pmpro_default_level":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1960","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-zivot","pmpro-has-access"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/mne\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1960","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/mne\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/mne\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/mne\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/mne\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1960"}],"version-history":[{"count":29,"href":"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/mne\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1960\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2005,"href":"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/mne\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1960\/revisions\/2005"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/mne\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1962"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/mne\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1960"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/mne\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1960"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/argumentsasvetlanom.me\/mne\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1960"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}